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Beta Regression vs Kumaraswamy-Based Models for Bounded Data3 months ago
Abstract | Introduction | Motivation and Background | The Kumaraswamy Alternative | Study Objectives | Theoretical Framework | Distributional Families | Beta Distribution | Kumaraswamy Distribution | Exponentiated Kumaraswamy Distribution | Regression Structures | Parameter Correspondence and Interpretation | Simulation Study | Design and Methodology | Performance Metrics | Scenario 1: Beta-Distributed Data | Visualizing the Response Distribution | Simulation Results | Parameter Estimation Comparison | Scenario 2: Heavy-Tailed Data | Visualizing Heavy-Tailed Distributions | Parameter Estimation Under Misspecification | Scenario 3: Extreme Distributional Shapes | Visualizing Extreme Boundary Concentrations | The Convergence Crisis | Results and Discussion | Comparative Performance Across Scenarios | Statistical Performance Summary | Parameter Estimation: Magnitude and Precision | Computational Efficiency Analysis | Practical Decision Framework | Conclusions | Summary of Findings | Theoretical Implications | Methodological Contributions | References | Session Information
OptimalBinningWoE: Practical Guide for Credit Risk Modeling4 months ago
Introduction | Package Overview | Theoretical Foundation | Weight of Evidence (WoE) | Information Value (IV) | Installation | Dataset: German Credit Data | Data Preparation | Quick Start: Single Feature Binning | Visualize Binning Results | Key Insights from Single Feature | Multiple Features: Automated Binning | Feature Selection by IV | Gains Table Analysis | Algorithm Comparison | Algorithm Selection Guide | Algorithm Selection by Use Case | Complete Algorithm List (36 Algorithms) | Production Pipeline with tidymodels | Define Preprocessing Recipe | Model Specification and Workflow | Hyperparameter Tuning | Final Model Fitting | Model Evaluation | Inspect Learned Binning Rules | Traditional Scorecard Development | Train-Test Split | Fit Optimal Binning | Apply WoE Transformation | Build Logistic Regression | Scorecard Validation | Data Preprocessing | Handling Missing Values and Outliers | Production Deployment | Model Serialization | Production Scoring Function | Best Practices Summary | Workflow Recommendations | Common Pitfalls to Avoid | References | Session Information
Advanced Workflows for High-Level Users4 months ago
Audience and scope | 1) Reproducible simulation and data checks | 2) Fixed-effects candidate set and model ranking | 3) Inference stack: Wald + bootstrap + AME | 4) Prediction layer on analyst scale | 5) Out-of-sample validation | 6) Escalation to mixed models | 6.1 Simulate clustered data with random intercept + slope | 6.2 Fit evolutionary sequence | 6.3 Model choice by LLR/LRT (ANOVA) | 7) Random-effects study (numeric + visual) | 8) Practical decision checklist | References
Analyst Tools for betaregscale4 months ago
Overview | Mathematical foundations | Complete likelihood by censoring type | Model-comparison metrics | Average marginal effects (AME) | Score-scale probabilities | Cross-validation log score | Reproducible workflow | 1) Simulate data and fit candidate models | 2) Compare models in one table | 3) Estimate average marginal effects | 4) Predict score probabilities | 5) ggplot2 diagnostics | 6) Repeated k-fold cross-validation | Practical interpretation | References
Introduction to betaregscale4 months ago
Overview | Installation | Censoring types | Interval construction | Data preparation with brs_prep() | Mode 1: Score only (automatic) | Mode 2: Score + explicit censoring indicator | Mode 3: Interval endpoints with NA patterns | Mode 4: Analyst-supplied intervals | Using brs_prep with brs() | Example 1: Fixed dispersion model | Simulating data | Fitting the model | Goodness of fit | Comparing link functions | Residual diagnostics | Predictions | Confidence intervals | Censoring structure | Example 2: Variable dispersion model | Accessing coefficients by submodel | Comparing link functions (variable dispersion) | Diagnostics for variable dispersion | Advanced analyst functions | Parametric bootstrap confidence intervals | Average marginal effects (AME) | Score probabilities on the original scale | Repeated k-fold cross-validation | S3 methods reference | Reparameterizations | References
Mixed-Effects Beta Interval Regression with brsmm4 months ago
Overview | Mathematical model | Linear predictors | Beta parameterization | Conditional contribution by censoring type | Random-effects distribution | Group marginal likelihood | Laplace approximation used by brsmm() | Simulating clustered scale data | Fitting brsmm() | Random intercept + slope example | Additional studies of random effects (numerical and visual) | Core methods | Coefficients and random effects | Variance-covariance, summary and likelihood criteria | Fitted values, prediction and residuals | Diagnostic plotting methods | Prediction with newdata | Statistical tests and validation workflow | Wald tests (from summary) | Evolutionary scheme and Likelihood Ratio (LR) test selection | Residual diagnostics (quick checks) | Parameter recovery experiment | How this maps to automated package tests | References
Introduction to gkwdist: Generalized Kumaraswamy Distribution Family7 months ago
Introduction | Key Features | The Distribution Family | Mathematical Foundation | Nested Sub-families | Basic Distribution Functions | Density, CDF, Quantile, and Random Generation | Visualization | Comparing Distribution Shapes | Flexibility Across Families | Maximum Likelihood Estimation | Basic MLE Workflow | Inference Results | Goodness-of-Fit Assessment | Model Selection | Comparing Nested Models | Interpretation | Advanced Topics | Profile Likelihood | Confidence Regions | Performance Benchmarking | Computational Efficiency | Practical Applications | Example: Modeling Proportions | Recommendations | When to Use Each Distribution | Model Selection Workflow | Conclusion | Further Reading | Session Information
On the Statistical Properties and Computational Inference of the Generalized Kumaraswamy Distribution Family7 months ago
1. Introduction and Preliminaries | 1.1 Motivation and Background | 1.2 Mathematical Preliminaries | 2. The Generalized Kumaraswamy Distribution and Its Subfamily | 2.1 Definition and Fundamental Properties | 2.2 The Hierarchical Structure | 2.2.1 Beta–Kumaraswamy distribution | 2.2.2 Kumaraswamy–Kumaraswamy distribution | 2.2.3 Exponentiated Kumaraswamy distribution | 2.2.4 McDonald distribution | 2.2.5 Kumaraswamy distribution | 2.2.6 Beta distribution | 3. Likelihood-Based Inference | 3.1 The Log-Likelihood Function | 3.2 Maximum Likelihood Estimation | 3.3 Likelihood Ratio Tests | 4. Analytical Derivatives and Information Matrix | 4.1 The Score Vector | 4.2 The Hessian and Observed Information Matrix | 4.2.1 Diagonal elements | 4.2.2 Off-diagonal elements | 4.3 Asymptotic Variance–Covariance Matrix | 5. Computational Aspects and Discussion | 5.1 Numerical Stability | For (a<0), define[\text{log1mexp}(a) | 5.2 Optimization | 5.3 Gradient Accuracy | 5.4 Practical Recommendations | 5.5 Discussion | References